Celtic vs Celta Vigo result: 1-2 as Celtic were tipped
Prediction wrong. Final score: Celtic 1-2 Celta Vigo. We tipped Celtic at 37.4% before kick-off, so the prediction was wrong.
Pre-match preview (as published)
Europa League sees Celtic face Celta Vigo at Celtic Park. The model makes Celtic the favourite, assigning a narrow 37.4% probability of victory. For reference, the full split is Celtic 37.4%, draw 26.5%, Celta Vigo 36.1%.
Celtic have generated 1.26 goals per game (0.89x the league average) and are a leaky defence at 2.84 conceded per game. Celta Vigo average 1.03 scored (0.73x average) and are a steady defence at 1.48 conceded per game. Feeding those attack and defence strengths through a Poisson model, expected goals come out at 1.5 for Celtic and 1.9 for Celta Vigo.
On the goals markets, the numbers point to an open, higher-scoring game (Over 2.5 at 64.8%), and both teams are likely to score (66.3%). The most probable exact scoreline is 2-1, with 1-1, 1-2, 2-1 the leading candidates.
Verdict: Celtic to come out on top is the model's recommended pick at 37.4% confidence. A 2-1 scoreline is our single most likely result. As always, these are statistical estimates, not certainties.
Team news
- Celtic inflict painful lesson on Hearts with 7-1 thrashing at Parkhead — Callum Osmand was on target again as Celtic inflicted more misery on Hearts with a 7-1 thrashing at Parkhead. (ESPN, 2026-10-18)