OFI Crete vs Bayer Leverkusen result: 0-2 as Bayer Leverkusen were tipped
Prediction correct. Final score: OFI Crete 0-2 Bayer Leverkusen. We tipped Bayer Leverkusen at 62.1% before kick-off, so the prediction was correct.
Pre-match preview (as published)
Europa League sees OFI Crete face Bayer Leverkusen at Pankritio Stadium. The model makes Bayer Leverkusen the favourite, assigning a clear 62.1% probability of victory. For reference, the full split is OFI Crete 15%, draw 22.9%, Bayer Leverkusen 62.1%.
OFI Crete have generated 1.45 goals per game (1.03x the league average) and are a miserly defence at 1.09 conceded per game. Bayer Leverkusen average 3.09 scored (2.18x average) and are yet to concede. Feeding those attack and defence strengths through a Poisson model, expected goals come out at 0.5 for OFI Crete and 2.1 for Bayer Leverkusen.
On the goals markets, the numbers point to a balanced total around the 2.5 line, and a clean sheet for one side is on the cards (both teams to score just 35%). The most probable exact scoreline is 0-2, with 0-2, 0-1, 0-3 the leading candidates.
Verdict: Bayer Leverkusen to come out on top is the model's recommended pick at 62.1% confidence. A 0-2 scoreline is our single most likely result. As always, these are statistical estimates, not certainties.