CF Montréal vs Nashville SC prediction: Nashville SC to win 0-2 as model gives 68.5% chance
MLS sees CF Montréal face Nashville SC at Stade Saputo. The model makes Nashville SC the favourite, assigning a clear 68.5% probability of victory. For reference, the full split is CF Montréal 11.2%, draw 20.3%, Nashville SC 68.5%.
CF Montréal have generated 1.08 goals per game (0.67x the league average) and are a leaky defence at 1.92 conceded per game. Nashville SC average 2.11 scored (1.30x average) and are a miserly defence at 0.86 conceded per game. Feeding those attack and defence strengths through a Poisson model, expected goals come out at 0.6 for CF Montréal and 2.2 for Nashville SC.
On the goals markets, the numbers point to an open, higher-scoring game (Over 2.5 at 55.2%), and a clean sheet for one side is on the cards (both teams to score just 43.4%). The most probable exact scoreline is 0-2, with 0-2, 0-1, 0-3 the leading candidates.
Verdict: Nashville SC to come out on top is the model's recommended pick at 68.5% confidence. A 0-2 scoreline is our single most likely result. As always, these are statistical estimates, not certainties.
Team news
- MLS Power Rankings: Messi's Inter Miami moving up, Nashville still No.1 — Nashville are very much still the team to beat, but Inter Miami, St. Louis City SC and Philly are hot on their heels in our latest edition of ESPN's MLS Power Rankings. (ESPN, 2026-10-19)
- MLS Power Rankings: Miami back to winning ways, as Nashville chase history — Inter Miami end their winless drought, while Nashville still lead the way in our latest edition of ESPN's MLS Power Rankings. (ESPN, 2026-10-12)
- MLS Power Rankings: No Cavan? No problem for surging Philadelphia — Philadelphia lost three star youngsters to international duty, yet the Union continued their march toward the top of ESPN's MLS Power Rankings. (ESPN, 2026-09-28)
- MLS Power Rankings: Union skyrocket as unbeaten streak reaches 11 games — Can anyone stop the Philadelphia Union? Their latest win powered them up the charts in this week's edition of ESPN's MLS Power Rankings. (ESPN, 2026-09-21)
- MLS Power Rankings: Chicago's slide continues as Nashville cements top spot — The Chicago Fire haven't tasted victory in more than three weeks, precipitating a slide down this week's edition of ESPN's MLS Power Rankings. (ESPN, 2026-09-14)
- Messi scores, but Nashville strikes late to deny Miami win — Lionel Messi scored a second-half goal, but Nashville SC struck back in stoppage time to earn a 2-2 draw at Inter Miami and maintain its nine-point lead at the top of the Eastern Conference. (ESPN, 2026-09-13)