Liga Profesional predictions: every match from 16 October to 18 October 2026

11 Liga Profesional fixtures previewed with win probabilities, likely scores and goals markets. 0 clear favourites, 11 games the model calls close.

11 Liga Profesional matches are scheduled between Friday, 16 October 2026 and Sunday, 18 October 2026. The model makes 0 of them clear favourites at 65% or better and sees the rest as open. The headline fixture is Belgrano (Córdoba) against River Plate, and the full list with a verdict on each is below in kick-off order.

Headline fixture

Belgrano (Córdoba)21.8%vRiver Plate47.3%River Plate to win · 47.3%

River Plate are a marginal favourite at 47.3% (draw 30.9%, Belgrano (Córdoba) 21.8%). Expected goals come out at 1.2 for Belgrano (Córdoba) and 0.8 for River Plate. The model expects a tight game, Under 2.5 at 68.9%, and both teams to score is unlikely at 38.6%. Bookmakers price River Plate at about 40.7%, so the model is 6.6 points more confident than the market. Form: Belgrano (Córdoba) DLLWW, River Plate LWWDW (most recent first).

Every fixture

Defensa y Justicia v Instituto (Córdoba), Friday, 16 October 2026 22:00 UTC

Instituto (Córdoba) to win at 36.4%, Over 2.5 at 47.6%. Form: Def. y Jus. DWLWW, Instituto DWWDW. Full preview

Boca Juniors v Talleres (Córdoba), Saturday, 17 October 2026 00:30 UTC

Boca Juniors to win at 52.7%, most likely score 2-0, Over 2.5 at 47.4%. Form: Boca WWWDW, Talleres WLLDL. Full preview

Banfield v Argentinos Juniors, Saturday, 17 October 2026 18:00 UTC

Argentinos Juniors to win at 50.5%, most likely score 0-1, Over 2.5 at 42.9%. Form: Banfield LDLWD, Argentinos WWWDW. Full preview

Independiente Rivadavia v Tigre, Saturday, 17 October 2026 20:30 UTC

Independiente Rivadavia to win at 47%, most likely score 1-0, Over 2.5 at 47.3%. Form: Ind. Rivadavia WLDLD, Tigre WLDLL. Full preview

Platense v Lanús, Saturday, 17 October 2026 20:30 UTC

Lanús to win at 39.5%, most likely score 0-1, Over 2.5 at 30.9%. Form: Platense WWLDD, Lanús DDWWD. Full preview

Atlético Tucumán v Rosario Central, Saturday, 17 October 2026 23:00 UTC

Rosario Central to win at 45.3%, most likely score 0-1, Over 2.5 at 31.3%. Form: Atl Tucumán LWLDL, Rosario Central WWWWD. Full preview

Vélez Sarsfield v Gimnasia (Mendoza), Saturday, 17 October 2026 23:00 UTC

Vélez Sarsfield to win at 53.2%, most likely score 1-0, Over 2.5 at 43.7%. Form: Vélez DWWLD, Gimnasia (M) DLLWL. Full preview

Racing Club v Independiente, Sunday, 18 October 2026 17:45 UTC

Racing Club to win at 45.6%, most likely score 1-0, Over 2.5 at 42%. Form: Racing WLDLW, Independiente DLDDL. Full preview

Estudiantes de La Plata v San Lorenzo, Sunday, 18 October 2026 21:00 UTC

Estudiantes de La Plata to win at 40.8%, most likely score 1-0, Over 2.5 at 22.5%. Form: Estudiantes DLLDW, San Lorenzo DDWWL. Full preview

Estudiantes de Río Cuarto v Aldosivi, Sunday, 18 October 2026 21:00 UTC

Aldosivi to win at 40.9%, most likely score 0-1, Over 2.5 at 25.7%. Form: Estudiantes RC LLWLL, Aldosivi LWLLL. Full preview

Belgrano (Córdoba) v River Plate, Sunday, 18 October 2026 23:15 UTC

River Plate to win at 47.3%, Over 2.5 at 31.1%. Form: Belgrano DLLWW, River Plate LWWDW. Full preview

A note on the numbers

Liga Profesional probabilities come from two seasons of results through a Dixon-Coles goals model, blended with Elo ratings and bookmaker prices. Every pick is locked at kick-off and added to the public track record.