Liga Profesional predictions: every match from 16 October to 25 October 2026

18 Liga Profesional fixtures previewed with win probabilities, likely scores and goals markets. 1 clear favourites, 17 games the model calls close.

18 Liga Profesional matches are scheduled between Friday, 16 October 2026 and Sunday, 25 October 2026. The model makes 1 of them clear favourites at 65% or better and sees the rest as open. The headline fixture is Belgrano (Córdoba) against River Plate, and the full list with a verdict on each is below in kick-off order.

Headline fixture

Belgrano (Córdoba)21.8%vRiver Plate47.3%River Plate to win · 47.3%

River Plate are a marginal favourite at 47.3% (draw 30.9%, Belgrano (Córdoba) 21.8%). Expected goals come out at 1.2 for Belgrano (Córdoba) and 0.8 for River Plate. The model expects a tight game, Under 2.5 at 68.9%, and both teams to score is unlikely at 38.6%. Bookmakers price River Plate at about 40.7%, so the model is 6.6 points more confident than the market. Form: Belgrano (Córdoba) LWWWD, River Plate WDWLW (most recent first). Team news worth a look before kick-off: "Matías Galarza joins Inter Miami from River Plate".

Every fixture

Defensa y Justicia v Instituto (Córdoba), Friday, 16 October 2026 22:00 UTC

Instituto (Córdoba) to win at 36.4%, Over 2.5 at 47.6%. Form: Def. y Jus. LWWDW, Instituto WDWWW. Full preview

Boca Juniors v Talleres (Córdoba), Saturday, 17 October 2026 00:30 UTC

Boca Juniors to win at 52.7%, most likely score 2-0, Over 2.5 at 47.4%. Form: Boca WDWWW, Talleres LDLLW. Full preview

Banfield v Argentinos Juniors, Saturday, 17 October 2026 18:00 UTC

Argentinos Juniors to win at 50.5%, most likely score 0-1, Over 2.5 at 42.9%. Form: Banfield LWDDD, Argentinos WDWLD. Full preview

Independiente Rivadavia v Tigre, Saturday, 17 October 2026 20:30 UTC

Independiente Rivadavia to win at 47%, most likely score 1-0, Over 2.5 at 47.3%. Form: Ind. Rivadavia DLDWW, Tigre DLLLL. Full preview

Platense v Lanús, Saturday, 17 October 2026 20:30 UTC

Lanús to win at 39.5%, most likely score 0-1, Over 2.5 at 30.9%. Form: Platense LDDLL, Lanús WWDWW. Full preview

Atlético Tucumán v Rosario Central, Saturday, 17 October 2026 23:00 UTC

Rosario Central to win at 45.3%, most likely score 0-1, Over 2.5 at 31.3%. Form: Atl Tucumán LDLLL, Rosario Central WWDWW. Full preview

Vélez Sarsfield v Gimnasia (Mendoza), Saturday, 17 October 2026 23:00 UTC

Vélez Sarsfield to win at 53.2%, most likely score 1-0, Over 2.5 at 43.7%. Form: Vélez WLDWD, Gimnasia (M) LWLDL. Full preview

Racing Club v Independiente, Sunday, 18 October 2026 17:45 UTC

Racing Club to win at 45.6%, most likely score 1-0, Over 2.5 at 42%. Form: Racing DLWWL, Independiente DDLWD. Full preview

Estudiantes de La Plata v San Lorenzo, Sunday, 18 October 2026 21:00 UTC

Estudiantes de La Plata to win at 40.8%, most likely score 1-0, Over 2.5 at 22.5%. Form: Estudiantes LDWLW, San Lorenzo WWLLD. Full preview

Estudiantes de Río Cuarto v Aldosivi, Sunday, 18 October 2026 21:00 UTC

Aldosivi to win at 40.9%, most likely score 0-1, Over 2.5 at 25.7%. Form: Estudiantes RC WLLLL, Aldosivi LLLWL. Full preview

Belgrano (Córdoba) v River Plate, Sunday, 18 October 2026 23:15 UTC

River Plate to win at 47.3%, Over 2.5 at 31.1%. Form: Belgrano LWWWD, River Plate WDWLW. Full preview

Gimnasia La Plata v Sarmiento (Junín), Friday, 23 October 2026 21:00 UTC

Gimnasia La Plata to win at 67%, most likely score 2-1, Over 2.5 at 60.6%. Form: Gimnasia LP WDDDD, Sarmiento (J) DDWLD. Full preview

Gimnasia (Mendoza) v Platense, Friday, 23 October 2026 21:30 UTC

Gimnasia (Mendoza) to win at 45.4%, most likely score 1-0, Over 2.5 at 36.3%. Form: Gimnasia (M) LWLDL, Platense LDDLL. Full preview

Tigre v Atlético Tucumán, Saturday, 24 October 2026 00:15 UTC

Tigre to win at 63.3%, most likely score 1-0, Over 2.5 at 34.6%. Form: Tigre DLLLL, Atl Tucumán LDLLL. Full preview

Banfield v Lanús, Saturday, 24 October 2026 17:45 UTC

Lanús to win at 53.9%, most likely score 0-1, Over 2.5 at 34%. Form: Banfield LWDDD, Lanús WWDWW. Full preview

Talleres (Córdoba) v Defensa y Justicia, Saturday, 24 October 2026 20:00 UTC

Talleres (Córdoba) to win at 51.9%, Over 2.5 at 38.1%. Form: Talleres LDLLW, Def. y Jus. LWWDW. Full preview

San Lorenzo v Newell's Old Boys, Saturday, 24 October 2026 22:15 UTC

San Lorenzo to win at 43.5%, most likely score 1-0, Over 2.5 at 18.6%. Form: San Lorenzo WWLLD, Newell's WLDWD. Full preview

Rosario Central v Huracán, Sunday, 25 October 2026 00:30 UTC

Rosario Central to win at 64.6%, most likely score 1-0, Over 2.5 at 36.4%. Form: Rosario Central WWDWW, Huracán LLWWW. Full preview

A note on the numbers

Liga Profesional probabilities come from two seasons of results through a Dixon-Coles goals model, blended with Elo ratings and bookmaker prices. Every pick is locked at kick-off and added to the public track record.