Liga Profesional predictions: every match from 16 October to 3 November 2026

26 Liga Profesional fixtures previewed with win probabilities, likely scores and goals markets. 0 clear favourites, 26 games the model calls close.

26 Liga Profesional matches are scheduled between Friday, 16 October 2026 and Tuesday, 3 November 2026. The model makes 0 of them clear favourites at 65% or better and sees the rest as open. The headline fixture is Boca Juniors against River Plate, and the full list with a verdict on each is below in kick-off order.

Headline fixture

Boca Juniors37.9%vRiver Plate32.7%Boca to win · 37.9%

Boca Juniors are a marginal favourite at 37.9% (draw 29.4%, River Plate 32.7%). Expected goals come out at 1.4 for Boca Juniors and 1 for River Plate, with 1-0 the most likely exact score. The model expects a tight game, Under 2.5 at 55.5%, and both teams to score is a coin flip at 50.1%. On Elo ratings Boca Juniors are the clearly stronger side (119 points of edge including home advantage). Form: Boca Juniors WWDWW, River Plate WWDWL (most recent first). Team news worth a look before kick-off: "Matías Galarza joins Inter Miami from River Plate".

Every fixture

Defensa y Justicia v Instituto (Córdoba), Friday, 16 October 2026 22:00 UTC

Instituto (Córdoba) to win at 36.4%, Over 2.5 at 47.6%. Form: Def. y Jus. WLWWD, Instituto WWDWW. Full preview

Boca Juniors v Talleres (Córdoba), Saturday, 17 October 2026 00:30 UTC

Boca Juniors to win at 52.7%, most likely score 2-0, Over 2.5 at 47.4%. Form: Boca WWDWW, Talleres LLDLL. Full preview

Banfield v Argentinos Juniors, Saturday, 17 October 2026 18:00 UTC

Argentinos Juniors to win at 50.5%, most likely score 0-1, Over 2.5 at 42.9%. Form: Banfield DLWDD, Argentinos WWDWL. Full preview

Independiente Rivadavia v Tigre, Saturday, 17 October 2026 20:30 UTC

Independiente Rivadavia to win at 47%, most likely score 1-0, Over 2.5 at 47.3%. Form: Ind. Rivadavia LDLDW, Tigre LDLLL. Full preview

Platense v Lanús, Saturday, 17 October 2026 20:30 UTC

Lanús to win at 39.5%, most likely score 0-1, Over 2.5 at 30.9%. Form: Platense WLDDL, Lanús DWWDW. Full preview

Atlético Tucumán v Rosario Central, Saturday, 17 October 2026 23:00 UTC

Rosario Central to win at 45.3%, most likely score 0-1, Over 2.5 at 31.3%. Form: Atl Tucumán WLDLL, Rosario Central WWWDW. Full preview

Vélez Sarsfield v Gimnasia (Mendoza), Saturday, 17 October 2026 23:00 UTC

Vélez Sarsfield to win at 53.2%, most likely score 1-0, Over 2.5 at 43.7%. Form: Vélez WWLDW, Gimnasia (M) LLWLD. Full preview

Racing Club v Independiente, Sunday, 18 October 2026 17:45 UTC

Racing Club to win at 45.6%, most likely score 1-0, Over 2.5 at 42%. Form: Racing LDLWW, Independiente LDDLW. Full preview

Estudiantes de La Plata v San Lorenzo, Sunday, 18 October 2026 21:00 UTC

Estudiantes de La Plata to win at 40.8%, most likely score 1-0, Over 2.5 at 22.5%. Form: Estudiantes LLDWL, San Lorenzo DWWLL. Full preview

Estudiantes de Río Cuarto v Aldosivi, Sunday, 18 October 2026 21:00 UTC

Aldosivi to win at 40.9%, most likely score 0-1, Over 2.5 at 25.7%. Form: Estudiantes RC LWLLL, Aldosivi WLLLW. Full preview

Belgrano (Córdoba) v River Plate, Sunday, 18 October 2026 23:15 UTC

River Plate to win at 47.3%, Over 2.5 at 31.1%. Form: Belgrano LLWWW, River Plate WWDWL. Full preview

Estudiantes de Río Cuarto v Gimnasia La Plata, Friday, 30 October 2026 22:00 UTC

Gimnasia La Plata to win at 56.2%, most likely score 0-1, Over 2.5 at 39.8%. Form: Estudiantes RC LWLLL, Gimnasia LP WWDDD. Full preview

Huracán v Tigre, Friday, 30 October 2026 22:00 UTC

Huracán to win at 40.1%, most likely score 1-0, Over 2.5 at 27.5%. Form: Huracán LLLWW, Tigre LDLLL. Full preview

Racing Club v Aldosivi, Saturday, 31 October 2026 00:15 UTC

Racing Club to win at 56.9%, most likely score 1-0, Over 2.5 at 44%. Form: Racing LDLWW, Aldosivi WLLLW. Full preview

Sarmiento (Junín) v Rosario Central, Saturday, 31 October 2026 00:15 UTC

Rosario Central to win at 53.9%, most likely score 1-2, Over 2.5 at 53.5%. Form: Sarmiento (J) LDDWL, Rosario Central WWWDW. Full preview

Deportivo Riestra v Talleres (Córdoba), Saturday, 31 October 2026 20:00 UTC

Deportivo Riestra to win at 41.6%, most likely score 1-0, Over 2.5 at 17.9%. Form: Riestra LDLDD, Talleres LLDLL. Full preview

Vélez Sarsfield v San Lorenzo, Saturday, 31 October 2026 22:15 UTC

Vélez Sarsfield to win at 43.7%, most likely score 1-0, Over 2.5 at 27.4%. Form: Vélez WWLDW, San Lorenzo DWWLL. Full preview

Estudiantes de La Plata v Instituto (Córdoba), Sunday, 1 November 2026 00:30 UTC

Estudiantes de La Plata to win at 46.6%, most likely score 1-0, Over 2.5 at 39%. Form: Estudiantes LLDWL, Instituto WWDWW. Full preview

Boca Juniors v River Plate, Sunday, 1 November 2026 18:00 UTC

Boca Juniors to win at 37.9%, most likely score 1-0, Over 2.5 at 44.5%. Form: Boca WWDWW, River Plate WWDWL. Full preview

Belgrano (Córdoba) v Barracas Central, Sunday, 1 November 2026 21:30 UTC

Belgrano (Córdoba) to win at 52.9%, most likely score 1-0, Over 2.5 at 22%. Form: Belgrano LLWWW, Barracas WDWWL. Full preview

Newell's Old Boys v Unión (Santa Fe), Sunday, 1 November 2026 21:30 UTC

Newell's Old Boys to win at 48.5%, most likely score 1-0, Over 2.5 at 45.5%. Form: Newell's DWLDW, Unión (SF) WDLLL. Full preview

Lanús v Gimnasia (Mendoza), Sunday, 1 November 2026 23:45 UTC

Lanús to win at 59.8%, most likely score 1-0, Over 2.5 at 33.4%. Form: Lanús DWWDW, Gimnasia (M) LLWLD. Full preview

Defensa y Justicia v Independiente, Monday, 2 November 2026 22:00 UTC

Defensa y Justicia to win at 38.5%, most likely score 1-0, Over 2.5 at 42.1%. Form: Def. y Jus. WLWWD, Independiente LDDLW. Full preview

Platense v Central Córdoba (Santiago del Estero), Monday, 2 November 2026 22:00 UTC

Platense to win at 58.1%, most likely score 1-0, Over 2.5 at 41%. Form: Platense WLDDL, C. Córdoba (SE) LLDDD. Full preview

Atlético Tucumán v Argentinos Juniors, Tuesday, 3 November 2026 00:15 UTC

Argentinos Juniors to win at 47%, most likely score 0-1, Over 2.5 at 27.9%. Form: Atl Tucumán WLDLL, Argentinos WWDWL. Full preview

Independiente Rivadavia v Banfield, Tuesday, 3 November 2026 00:15 UTC

Independiente Rivadavia to win at 63.5%, most likely score 2-1, Over 2.5 at 58.8%. Form: Ind. Rivadavia LDLDW, Banfield DLWDD. Full preview

A note on the numbers

Liga Profesional probabilities come from two seasons of results through a Dixon-Coles goals model, blended with Elo ratings and bookmaker prices. Every pick is locked at kick-off and added to the public track record.