MLS predictions: every match from 17 October to 25 October 2026

30 MLS fixtures previewed with win probabilities, likely scores and goals markets. 3 clear favourites, 27 games the model calls close.

30 MLS matches are scheduled between Saturday, 17 October 2026 and Sunday, 25 October 2026. The model makes 3 of them clear favourites at 65% or better and sees the rest as open. The headline fixture is New England Revolution against Chicago Fire FC, and the full list with a verdict on each is below in kick-off order.

Headline fixture

New England Revolution35%vChicago Fire FC37.3%Chicago to win · 37.3%

Chicago Fire FC are a marginal favourite at 37.3% (draw 27.8%, New England Revolution 35%). Expected goals come out at 1.8 for New England Revolution and 1.5 for Chicago Fire FC, with 1-2 the most likely exact score. The numbers lean to Over 2.5 goals (64.1%), and both teams to score is likely at 66%. Form: New England Revolution WWLLW, Chicago Fire FC LLWWW (most recent first). Team news worth a look before kick-off: "MLS Power Rankings: Messi's Inter Miami moving up, Nashville still No.1".

Every fixture

Philadelphia Union v Charlotte FC, Saturday, 17 October 2026 18:30 UTC

Philadelphia Union to win at 60.9%, most likely score 2-1, Over 2.5 at 71.8%. Form: Philadelphia DWWWW, Charlotte DLWLW. Full preview

Minnesota United FC v St. Louis CITY SC, Saturday, 17 October 2026 20:30 UTC

Minnesota United FC to win at 38.4%, Over 2.5 at 73.4%. Form: Minnesota WDDLL, St. Louis LDWWW. Full preview

Atlanta United FC v Inter Miami CF, Saturday, 17 October 2026 23:30 UTC

Inter Miami CF to win at 51%, most likely score 1-2, Over 2.5 at 70.9%. Form: Atlanta LWLDW, Miami WWWLD. Full preview

New England Revolution v Chicago Fire FC, Saturday, 17 October 2026 23:30 UTC

Chicago Fire FC to win at 37.3%, most likely score 1-2, Over 2.5 at 64.1%. Form: New England WWLLW, Chicago LLWWW. Full preview

New York City FC v LAFC, Saturday, 17 October 2026 23:30 UTC

LAFC to win at 48.4%, most likely score 0-1, Over 2.5 at 37.1%. Form: NYCFC DLLDL, LAFC DWDLD. Full preview

Orlando City SC v D.C. United, Saturday, 17 October 2026 23:30 UTC

Orlando City SC to win at 50%, most likely score 2-1, Over 2.5 at 75%. Form: Orlando WDWLL, D.C. United LWLDL. Full preview

Red Bull New York v Toronto FC, Saturday, 17 October 2026 23:30 UTC

Red Bull New York to win at 42.9%, most likely score 2-1, Over 2.5 at 57.2%. Form: Red Bull NY LLWLW, Toronto WDWLL. Full preview

Austin FC v Vancouver Whitecaps, Sunday, 18 October 2026 00:30 UTC

Vancouver Whitecaps to win at 61.5%, most likely score 0-2, Over 2.5 at 55.7%. Form: Austin LLLDD, Vancouver WDDLD. Full preview

Houston Dynamo FC v FC Dallas, Sunday, 18 October 2026 00:30 UTC

Houston Dynamo FC to win at 42%, most likely score 1-0, Over 2.5 at 48%. Form: Houston DDDLD, Dallas DWLWD. Full preview

Sporting Kansas City v Real Salt Lake, Sunday, 18 October 2026 00:30 UTC

Real Salt Lake to win at 44.5%, most likely score 1-2, Over 2.5 at 62.6%. Form: Kansas City LLDLW, Salt Lake WDLWL. Full preview

LA Galaxy v San Diego FC, Sunday, 18 October 2026 02:30 UTC

LA Galaxy to win at 40.4%, most likely score 2-1, Over 2.5 at 69.4%. Form: LA Galaxy DWLWW, San Diego DDLDD. Full preview

Portland Timbers v Colorado Rapids, Sunday, 18 October 2026 02:30 UTC

Portland Timbers to win at 40.9%, most likely score 2-1, Over 2.5 at 58.5%. Form: Portland DLDLL, Colorado DDDLD. Full preview

San Jose Earthquakes v Nashville SC, Sunday, 18 October 2026 02:30 UTC

Nashville SC to win at 51.9%, most likely score 0-2, Over 2.5 at 53.8%. Form: San Jose DDDWD, Nashville DWWWW. Full preview

Seattle Sounders FC v CF Montréal, Sunday, 18 October 2026 02:30 UTC

Seattle Sounders FC to win at 58.9%, most likely score 2-0, Over 2.5 at 51.2%. Form: Seattle DLWWW, CF Montréal DLLWL. Full preview

FC Cincinnati v Columbus Crew, Sunday, 18 October 2026 21:00 UTC

FC Cincinnati to win at 37.5%, most likely score 2-1, Over 2.5 at 79.6%. Form: Cincinnati LLWLD, Columbus WWLWW. Full preview

FC Cincinnati v D.C. United, Wednesday, 21 October 2026 23:00 UTC

FC Cincinnati to win at 52.2%, most likely score 2-1, Over 2.5 at 76.1%. Form: Cincinnati LLWLD, D.C. United LWLDL. Full preview

CF Montréal v Nashville SC, Saturday, 24 October 2026 17:30 UTC

Nashville SC to win at 69.7%, most likely score 0-2, Over 2.5 at 55.2%. Form: CF Montréal DLLWL, Nashville DWWWW. Full preview

Columbus Crew v Toronto FC, Saturday, 24 October 2026 19:30 UTC

Columbus Crew to win at 67.3%, most likely score 2-1, Over 2.5 at 63.4%. Form: Columbus WWLWW, Toronto WDWLL. Full preview

Red Bull New York v Inter Miami CF, Saturday, 24 October 2026 21:30 UTC

Inter Miami CF to win at 57.5%, most likely score 1-2, Over 2.5 at 69.7%. Form: Red Bull NY LLWLW, Miami WWWLD. Full preview

Atlanta United FC v Chicago Fire FC, Saturday, 24 October 2026 23:30 UTC

Chicago Fire FC to win at 46.7%, most likely score 1-2, Over 2.5 at 58.3%. Form: Atlanta LWLDW, Chicago LLWWW. Full preview

D.C. United v FC Cincinnati, Saturday, 24 October 2026 23:30 UTC

FC Cincinnati to win at 40.8%, most likely score 1-2, Over 2.5 at 74.5%. Form: D.C. United LWLDL, Cincinnati LLWLD. Full preview

Orlando City SC v New York City FC, Saturday, 24 October 2026 23:30 UTC

Orlando City SC to win at 41%, most likely score 2-1, Over 2.5 at 67.8%. Form: Orlando WDWLL, NYCFC DLLDL. Full preview

Philadelphia Union v New England Revolution, Saturday, 24 October 2026 23:30 UTC

Philadelphia Union to win at 70.5%, most likely score 2-1, Over 2.5 at 69.5%. Form: Philadelphia DWWWW, New England WWLLW. Full preview

Colorado Rapids v Vancouver Whitecaps, Sunday, 25 October 2026 00:30 UTC

Vancouver Whitecaps to win at 54.3%, most likely score 0-1, Over 2.5 at 43.3%. Form: Colorado DDDLD, Vancouver WDDLD. Full preview

FC Dallas v San Jose Earthquakes, Sunday, 25 October 2026 00:30 UTC

FC Dallas to win at 63%, most likely score 2-1, Over 2.5 at 62.4%. Form: Dallas DWLWD, San Jose DDDWD. Full preview

Houston Dynamo FC v Minnesota United FC, Sunday, 25 October 2026 00:30 UTC

Houston Dynamo FC to win at 48.6%, most likely score 2-1, Over 2.5 at 59.8%. Form: Houston DDDLD, Minnesota WDDLL. Full preview

Real Salt Lake v St. Louis CITY SC, Sunday, 25 October 2026 00:30 UTC

Real Salt Lake to win at 46.8%, most likely score 2-1, Over 2.5 at 63.2%. Form: Salt Lake WDLWL, St. Louis LDWWW. Full preview

Sporting Kansas City v Austin FC, Sunday, 25 October 2026 00:30 UTC

Sporting Kansas City to win at 50%, most likely score 2-1, Over 2.5 at 65.1%. Form: Kansas City LLDLW, Austin LLLDD. Full preview

Portland Timbers v Charlotte FC, Sunday, 25 October 2026 02:30 UTC

Portland Timbers to win at 55.2%, most likely score 2-1, Over 2.5 at 66.3%. Form: Portland DLDLL, Charlotte DLWLW. Full preview

San Diego FC v Seattle Sounders FC, Sunday, 25 October 2026 02:30 UTC

San Diego FC to win at 46.7%, most likely score 2-1, Over 2.5 at 59.2%. Form: San Diego DDLDD, Seattle DLWWW. Full preview

A note on the numbers

MLS probabilities come from two seasons of results through a Dixon-Coles goals model, blended with Elo ratings and bookmaker prices. Every pick is locked at kick-off and added to the public track record.